000
FONT12 KNHC 221452
PWSAT2
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022026               
1500 UTC WED JUL 22 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
GFAM 290N 870W 34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GULFPORT MS    34 11   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
STENNIS MS     34 16   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
BURAS LA       34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 27   4(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
HOUMA LA       34 39  14(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 
GFAM 280N 910W 34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  1   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34 11  25(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  1  13(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
GFAM 280N 930W 34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CAMERON LA     34  X  16(16)  13(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
CAMERON LA     50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
KOUNTZE TX     34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   1( 1)  10(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  X   1( 1)  29(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  X   X( X)  10(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
SAN ANTONIO TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
FREEPORT TX    34  X   X( X)  13(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
GFAM 280N 950W 34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34  X   1( 1)  14(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
MATAGORDA TX   34  X   X( X)  15(15)   3(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   5(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
ROCKPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG