Tropical Storm Philippe Wind Speed Probabilities

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FONT12 KNHC 032041
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  42         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023               
2100 UTC TUE OCT 03 2023                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  23(25)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
YARMOUTH NS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)
ST JOHN NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  21(22)
EASTPORT ME    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
EASTPORT ME    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)

AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

PORTSMOUTH NH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

WORCESTER MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  21(21)   8(29)   X(29)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)

SAINT THOMAS   34  8   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

SAINT JOHN     34 25   X(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)

SAINT MAARTEN  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG