906 
WTPA32 PHFO 262349
TCPCP2
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Nolo Intermediate Advisory Number 25A
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP152026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM HST Sat Sep 26 2026
 
...NOLO CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...
...GUSTY WINDS, HEAVY RAIN, AND LARGE WAVES CONTINUE FOR PORTIONS
OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 156.2W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SSW OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM SSE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.70 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Hawaii County
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Maui County
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.
 
Interests elsewhere in the Hawaiian Islands should closely monitor
the progress of this system.
 
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM HST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nolo was located
near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 156.2 West. Nolo is moving
toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h) and is expected to accelerate 
westward through the weekend. Then, a turn toward the northwest and 
north-northwest is forecast on Monday and Tuesday. On the forecast 
track, the center of Nolo will remain well south and southwest of 
the main Hawaiian Islands.
 
Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft 
indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Nolo is predicted to strengthen into a major 
hurricane on Sunday and peak in intensity by early Monday. 
Thereafter, steady weakening is expected.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150
miles (240 km).
 
The minimum central pressure estimated from the hurricane Hunter 
aircraft data is 972 mb (28.70 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Nolo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP2 and WMO header WTPA42 PHFO.
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring on portions of the Big
Island and are possible in Maui County in areas of steep terrain.
Strong and gusty winds are possible for all of the Hawaiian Islands
through the weekend.
 
RAINFALL: For the eastern and southern portions of the Big Island,
Nolo will produce additional rainfall totals 3 to 6 inches, bringing
storm totals to 10 to 20 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 25
inches. This rainfall could produce significant, life-threatening
flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
 
For the western portions of the Big Island, rainfall totals of 1 to
2 inches are expected. For eastern Maui, additional rainfall totals
of 1 to 2 inches are expected, bringing storm totals to 4 to 8
inches. Life-threatening flooding and mudslides are possible,
especially in areas of high terrain.
 
Across the remainder of the Hawaiian Islands, maximum storm total
rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Nolo,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_cp2.shtml?rainqpf
 
STORM SURGE: The threat of significant storm surge has diminished,
yet water levels along the coast will remain elevated through
upcoming tide cycles due to persistent, dangerous wave action.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Nolo are affecting exposed east- and
south-facing shores of the Big Island and are expected to spread
westward and build through the weekend. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven