000
WTPA32 PHFO 261147
TCPCP2
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Nolo Intermediate Advisory Number 23A
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP152026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM HST Sat Sep 26 2026
 
...NOLO STILL NEARLY STATIONARY SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...
...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE
REMAINING WELL SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 155.3W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM SSE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Hawaii County
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Hawaii County
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Maui County
 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 hours.
 
Interests elsewhere in the Hawaiian Islands should closely monitor
the progress of this system.
 
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM HST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nolo was located
near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 155.3 West. Nolo is nearly 
stationary. A westward motion with increasing forward speed is 
forecast later today and Sunday. A turn toward the northwest and 
north-northwest is expected on Monday. On the forecast track, the 
center of Nolo will remain well south and southwest of the main 
Hawaiian Islands.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher 
gusts. Nolo is forecast to strengthen into a major hurricane later 
today or tonight and peak in intensity by late Sunday. Weakening is 
expected on Monday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).
 
The minimum central pressure based on aircraft data is 975 mb (28.80 
inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Nolo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP2 and WMO header WTPA42 PHFO.
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring in portions of the 
warning area in areas of steep terrain. Hurricane-force gusts are 
possible this morning in areas of steep terrain.
 
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the tropical storm watch 
area beginning today. Gusts to tropical storm force are occurring in 
Maui County in areas of steep terrain.
 
Regardless of the exact track of Nolo, strong and gusty winds are
possible for all of the Hawaiian Islands through the weekend.
 
RAINFALL: For the eastern and southern portions of the Big Island,
Nolo will produce rainfall totals of 8 to 12 inches with maximum
amounts of 16 inches. This rainfall could produce significant,
life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of
steep terrain.
 
For the western portions of the Big Island, rainfall totals of 1 to 
3 inches with maximum amounts of 6 inches are expected. For eastern 
Maui, rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches with maximum amounts of 8 
inches are expected. Life-threatening flooding and mudslides are 
possible, especially in areas of high terrain.
 
Across the remainder of the Hawaiian Islands, maximum rainfall
totals of 1 to 2 inches are expected.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Nolo, 
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic 
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_cp2.shtml?rainqpf
 
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide
will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising
waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
 
Hawaii County...1 to 3 ft
 
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast and will be
accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding
depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle,
and can vary greatly over short distances. For information
specific to your area, please see products issued by your local
National Weather Service forecast office.
 
For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_cp2.shtml?peakSurge.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Nolo are affecting exposed east- and
south-facing shores of the Big Island and are expected to spread
westward and build through the weekend. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.
 
$$
Forecaster Reinhart