000
WTPA21 PHFO 121450
TCMCP1
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC WED AUG 12 2026
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 141.8W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 141.8W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 141.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.3N 142.9W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 15.9N 144.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.9N 145.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.9N 148.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.6N 150.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.1N 153.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  50SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 20.6N 158.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  50SW 110NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 22.3N 163.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  50SW 110NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 141.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH