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Post-Tropical Cyclone Kiko Forecast Discussion


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000
WTPA44 PHFO 101437
TCDCP4
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Kiko Discussion Number  42
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP112025
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Wed Sep 10 2025
 
Kiko has not produced any deep convection for the past 12 hours.  
Global models show that the circulation will likely not form 
organized deep convection in the future, likely due to a dry 
environment and strong vertical wind shear.  Kiko is now being 
designated as a post-tropical remnant low, and this will be the 
last advisory on the system.  The cyclone has continued to weaken 
since the previous advisory so the initial intensity is lowered 
to 30 kt.  

The shallow vortex is moving westward at 10 kt.  A turn to the  
west-northwestward should occur soon and this general motion is 
forecast to continue for the next couple of days until Kiko opens 
into a trough and dissipates.
 
For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  10/1500Z 22.9N 158.1W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  11/0000Z 23.4N 159.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  11/1200Z 24.0N 162.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  12/0000Z 24.8N 164.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  12/1200Z 25.4N 166.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  13/0000Z 26.0N 168.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  13/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Bucci