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WTPA44 PHFO 012322
TCDCP4
 
Hurricane Lowell Special Discussion Number  22
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP122026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM HST Tue Sep 01 2026
 
 
The satellite presentation of Lowell has improved the last several
hours. A deep ring of cold convection wraps around a small eye
feature that is becoming more evident in infrared and satellite
imagery. Objective intensity estimates have been steadily increasing
the last few hours. The initial intensity has been raised to 110 kt,
making Lowell a major category 3 hurricane, and is rapidly
intensifying.
 
Lowell remains within a favorable environment with warm sea surface
temperatures, and low wind shear. Lowell is likely to continue
strengthening, and remain a major hurricane throughout the
remainder of the forecast period. The latest NHC intensity forecast
was adjusted upward, given the recent satellite trends and current
conditions.
 
There were no changes made to the track forecast with this advisory,
with the west-northwestward to westward motion anticipated to
continue over the next few days.
 
Key Messages:
 
1. Interests in the Hawaiian Islands should continue to closely
monitor the progress of Hurricane Lowell.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  02/0000Z 13.5N 150.7W  110 KT 125 MPH
 12H  02/0600Z 13.7N 151.7W  125 KT 145 MPH
 24H  02/1800Z 13.8N 153.7W  130 KT 150 MPH
 36H  03/0600Z 14.0N 155.7W  130 KT 150 MPH
 48H  03/1800Z 14.2N 157.6W  125 KT 145 MPH
 60H  04/0600Z 14.4N 159.2W  120 KT 140 MPH
 72H  04/1800Z 14.5N 160.6W  120 KT 140 MPH
 96H  05/1800Z 14.7N 163.3W  120 KT 140 MPH
120H  06/1800Z 15.3N 164.9W  120 KT 140 MPH
 
$$
Forecaster Kelly