Skip Navigation Links
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration logo National Weather Service logo United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane Nolo Wind Speed Probabilities


Home   Public Adv   Fcst Adv   Discussion   Wind Probs   Graphics   Archive  

Local Products  

Español: Aviso Publico   Discusión  

000
FOPA12 PHFO 261456
PWSCP2
                                                                    
HURRICANE NOLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP152026         
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                    
1500 UTC SAT SEP 26 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NOLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 155.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90   
KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.                                           
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
18N 156W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
18N 156W       50 12   1(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
18N 156W       64  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  9   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
BARKING SANDS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
BUOY 51002     34 35  63(98)   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BUOY 51002     50  X  80(80)   8(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
BUOY 51002     64  X  54(54)  13(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)
 
15N 160W       34  X   X( X)  10(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   5(15)   1(16)   X(16)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)
 
21N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)
 
BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)   8( 8)  45(53)  11(64)   X(64)   X(64)
BUOY 51003     50  X   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   6(19)   X(19)   X(19)
BUOY 51003     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
NIHOA          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   8(20)   1(21)
NIHOA          50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
BUOY 51101     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)   1(15)
 
22N 164W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  68(68)  17(85)   1(86)
22N 164W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  36(36)  24(60)   1(61)
22N 164W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  19(19)  18(37)   X(37)
 
NECKER         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)  47(67)   5(72)
NECKER         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  31(35)   3(38)
NECKER         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  16(18)   1(19)
 
20N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  39(39)   1(40)   1(41)
20N 165W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   2(13)   X(13)
20N 165W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
25N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  37(40)   9(49)
25N 165W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   4(18)
25N 165W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)
 
FR FRIG SHOALS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  38(43)  15(58)
FR FRIG SHOALS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   9(24)
FR FRIG SHOALS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)
 
GARDNER PINN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  33(43)
GARDNER PINN   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)
GARDNER PINN   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
20N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
25N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  21(22)
25N 170W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
25N 170W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
MARO REEF      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)
MARO REEF      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
LAYSAN         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER REINHART