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Local Statement for Nestor (Mobile, AL / Pensacola, FL)


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Tropical Storm Nestor Local Statement Advisory Number 6
National Weather Service Mobile AL  AL162019
447 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south 
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

**NESTOR MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Warning has been cancelled for Baldwin 
      Central, Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, 
      Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa 
      Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Okaloosa Coastal

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 260 miles south-southwest of Fort Walton Beach FL or 
      about 260 miles south-southwest of Destin FL
    - 27.0N 88.5W
    - Storm Intensity 60 mph
    - Movement Northeast or 50 degrees at 22 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 4:00 AM CDT, Tropical Cyclone Nestor will continue to advance 
northeast from the central Gulf of Mexico to the northeast gulf by late
this evening. The system is then forecast to approach the coast near 
Cape San Blas late tonight before lifting across the Florida 
Panhandle.

Maximum sustained winds along the coastal sections of Okaloosa county 
will range between 25 to 35 mph, with gusts up to 40 mph. The strongest
winds are expected tonight.

Rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches, with isolated higher amounts 
will be possible, especially in coastal areas of the western Florida
panhandle south of Interstate 10. This may lead to nuisance flooding 
in poor drainage areas.

A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect along the western Florida
panhandle with inundation of 1 to 2 feet tonight and Saturday morning,
especially around the time of high tide. A High Surf Warning remains 
is now in from Fort Morgan, AL east to Destin, FL with breaker heights 
of 8 to 11 feet developing later today into early Saturday morning. A 
High Surf Advisory remains in effect for Dauphin Island with breaker 
heights of 5 to 7 feet.

Prepare now for damaging winds, minor coastal flooding, strong rip
currents, and periods of heavy rainfall across locations in the
Tropical Storm Warning area.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
coastal sections of Okaloosa county. Potential impacts in this area 
include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored 
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or 
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are 
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban 
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on 
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest 
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi., 
little to no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across coastal areas of the western Florida panhandle
south of Interstate 10. Potential impacts include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents. 
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen 
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually 
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water 
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage 
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become 
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge 
      closures. 

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest 
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi., 
little to no impact is anticipated.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
High surf with breaker heights of 8 to 11 feet from Fort Morgan, AL
east to Destin, FL will develop tonight into early Saturday morning. A
High Surf Advisory remains in effect for Dauphin Island with breaker
heights of 5 to 7 feet. This pounding surf will create minor coastal 
flooding with inundation of 1 to 2 feet expected tonight into Saturday 
morning, especially at the time of high tide. Minor to moderate beach 
erosion will also occur through the period. There is a high risk of rip
currents through Saturday night due to increased swell height and 
strong easterly winds.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large 
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or on
a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of strong 
winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets 
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes 
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather 
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please 
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number 
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or 
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather 
Service in Mobile AL around 10 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions 
warrant.

$$