000
WTPZ25 KNHC 150834
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052026
0900 UTC WED JUL 15 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 111.8W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE   0SE   0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 111.8W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 111.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.0N 113.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.1N 116.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.5N 118.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.2N 119.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.1N 121.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 18.2N 122.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 20.9N 125.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 23.3N 127.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 111.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)