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835 
FOPZ14 KNHC 170834
PWSEP4

HURRICANE LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142018               
0900 UTC FRI AUG 17 2018                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70   
KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.                                            

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

10N 135W       34  1   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

15N 135W       34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

10N 140W       34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)   X(10)   1(11)   X(11)

15N 140W       34  X   1( 1)  16(17)  23(40)   3(43)   1(44)   X(44)
15N 140W       50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
15N 140W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

10N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)

15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  68(76)   4(80)   X(80)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  46(47)   5(52)   X(52)
15N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  27(27)   3(30)   X(30)

20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)

10N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)

15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  50(63)   8(71)
15N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  29(33)   7(40)
15N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  17(19)   5(24)

20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)
20N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
20N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)
20N 151W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
20N 151W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)  19(38)
BUOY 51004     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   9(15)
BUOY 51004     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)

20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)
20N 154W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
20N 154W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

15N 155W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  33(43)
15N 155W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)
15N 155W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)

HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)

BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)

18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  22(25)
18N 156W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
18N 156W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  17(19)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
SOUTH POINT    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)

KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

21N 158W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

HANA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)

LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  19(20)
BUOY 51002     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
BUOY 51002     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

15N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)

20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI