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Hurricane Lane Wind Speed Probabilities


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524 
FOPZ14 KNHC 182033
PWSEP4

HURRICANE LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142018
2100 UTC SAT AUG 18 2018

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120
KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 140W       34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

10N 145W       34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

15N 145W       34  X   8( 8)  59(67)   3(70)   1(71)   X(71)   X(71)
15N 145W       50  X   1( 1)  15(16)   4(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
15N 145W       64  X   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

10N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)   X(10)

15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)  63(76)   3(79)   X(79)
15N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  41(43)   3(46)   X(46)
15N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  24(24)   2(26)   X(26)

20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)

BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  13(22)   1(23)
BUOY 51004     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
BUOY 51004     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)

15N 155W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  45(50)  12(62)
15N 155W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)   5(25)
15N 155W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)

HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  13(24)
18N 156W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   8(14)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)

21N 158W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

HANA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  23(30)
BUOY 51002     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
BUOY 51002     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

15N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)
15N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

21N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

$$
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