000
FOPZ11 KNHC 170840
PWSEP1
                                                                    
HURRICANE TRUDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212026               
0900 UTC SAT OCT 17 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TRUDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   1( 1)  23(24)  27(51)   5(56)   X(56)   X(56)
ISLAS MARIAS   50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)   4(20)   X(20)   X(20)
ISLAS MARIAS   64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SAN BLAS       34  X   1( 1)  17(18)   9(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
P VALLARTA     34  X   4( 4)  36(40)   5(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
P VALLARTA     50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X  76(76)   7(83)   1(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
BARRA NAVIDAD  50  X  15(15)   6(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
BARRA NAVIDAD  64  X   5( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
MANZANILLO     34 10  80(90)   2(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
MANZANILLO     50  X  22(22)   2(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
MANZANILLO     64  X   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
L CARDENAS     34  8   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
20N 110W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER GIBBS