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Tropical Depression Florence Wind Speed Probabilities


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  68    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062018               
0900 UTC SUN SEP 16 2018                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)

HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

PORTSMOUTH NH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

WORCESTER MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

SPRINGFIELD MA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BRIDGEPORT CT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NEW HAVEN CT   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NEW LONDON CT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

POUGHKEEPSIE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ISLIP NY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NWS EARLE NJ   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ALLENTOWN PA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PHILADELPHIA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CHARLOTTE NC   34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

COLUMBIA SC    34  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

AUGUSTA GA     34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH