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Hurricane Lane Forecast Advisory


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424 
WTPA24 PHFO 082033
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HURRICANE LANE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP142019
2100 UTC TUE AUG 21 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
*MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI... LANAI... MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE
*HAWAII COUNTY

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE
THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... 
CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... AND ACROSS THE
NORTHWESTERN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE LANE. ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM OR
HURRICANE WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 153.2W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  45SE  35SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE  95SE  60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 153.2W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 152.7W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 14.7N 154.2W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  35SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  95SE  60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.6N 155.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.6N 156.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.9N 156.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.6N 158.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 21.7N 160.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 21.5N 164.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 153.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER JACOBSON


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