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HURRICANE DORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052023
0900 UTC FRI AUG 04 2023
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1
NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115
KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 130W 34 1 44(45) 2(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
15N 130W 50 X 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
15N 130W 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
10N 135W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
15N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 26(27) 24(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52)
15N 135W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
15N 135W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
10N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) X(12)
15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 37(44) X(44) X(44)
15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12)
15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
10N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 6(18) X(18)
10N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
10N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 11(39) X(39)
15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) X(11)
15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
10N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) X(19)
10N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)
10N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) 1(37)
15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14)
15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5)
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 31(39)
15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14)
15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10)
10N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14)
10N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33)
15N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11)
15N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
15N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI
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