Hurricane DORA

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HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP052023
2100 UTC WED AUG 09 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 166.0W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 180SE 150SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 166.0W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 165.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 12.0N 168.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 12.8N 172.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 13.7N 175.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.8N 178.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   5SE   5SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.7N 178.5E
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  25SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.5N 175.9E
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   5SE   5SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  25SE  25SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 17.7N 171.1E
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 19.1N 167.1E
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 166.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER POWELL
 
 
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