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HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052023
2100 UTC WED AUG 02 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 115.6W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  20SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 115.6W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 114.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.2N 117.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.9N 120.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.5N 123.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.1N 127.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.7N 130.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.3N 133.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 12.6N 139.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 12.5N 146.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 115.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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