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HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052023
0900 UTC WED AUG 02 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 112.6W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE   5SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 112.6W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 111.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.7N 114.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   5SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.4N 117.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   5SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.8N 120.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.4N 123.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.0N 126.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.5N 130.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 12.9N 136.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 12.7N 142.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 112.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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