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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Agatha Advisory Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP012022
400 AM CDT Tue May 31 2022
 
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DUE TO AGATHA'S HEAVY RAINS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.8N 95.5W
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM NNW OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning west of Bahias de Huatulco.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bahias de Huatulco eastward to Boca de Pijijiapan Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Agatha was
located inland over southern Mexico near latitude 16.8 North, 
longitude 95.5 West.  Agatha is moving toward the northeast near 8 
mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue 
today.  On the forecast track, the center of Agatha will continue to
move farther inland over southern Mexico this morning.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with 
higher gusts.  Further weakening is expected, and Agatha is 
forecast to dissipate over southern Mexico by this afternoon.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions, especially in squalls, are 
expected to continue in the warning area through this morning.
 
RAINFALL:  Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern
Mexico through tonight. The following storm total rainfall amounts
are currently expected:
 
Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum
amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides may occur.
 
Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum
amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides may occur.
 
Mexican states of Veracruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with
isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible.
 
SURF:  Large swells generated by Agatha will affect the coast of
southern Mexico through today.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Berg
 
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