ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM AAA
TROPICAL STORM JULIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9...AMENDED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132022
1500 UTC SAT OCT 08 2022
AMENDED TO ADD ADDITIONAL LOCATIONS IN CENTRAL AMERICA
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GUANAJA 34 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAN ANDRES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAN ANDRES 50 88 4(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
SAN ANDRES 64 24 5(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 4 37(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BLUEFIELDS 34 2 71(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
BLUEFIELDS 50 X 38(38) 3(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
BLUEFIELDS 64 X 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MANAGUA 34 X 15(15) 29(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
MANAGUA 50 X 2( 2) 17(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
MANAGUA 64 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
TEGUCIGALPA 34 X 6( 6) 17(23) 3(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
TEGUCIGALPA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
P SAN JOSE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10)
GUATEMALA CITY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
LIMON 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER BERG
NNNN