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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Rick Advisory Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP172021
400 PM CDT Mon Oct 25 2021
 
...RICK WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO...
...HEAVY RAIN AND FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...20.0N 102.5W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM N OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Rick was 
located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 102.5 West. The 
depression is moving toward the north near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this 
motion is expected to continue into tonight.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the 
next 24 hours, and Rick is expected to dissipate over the 
mountainous terrain of Mexico by tonight or Tuesday morning.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Rick can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2, WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC,
and on the web at
www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?key_messages.
 
RAINFALL:  Rick is expected to produce 5 to 10 inches of rain with
isolated storm total amounts of 20 inches across sections of the
Mexican states of Guerrero and Michoacan through Tuesday. This heavy
rainfall will likely produce flash flooding and mudslides.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Rick will affect portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico through early Tuesday.  These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Latto
 
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