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Tropical Storm ENRIQUE


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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Enrique Advisory Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052021
300 PM MDT Tue Jun 29 2021
 
...ENRIQUE STILL BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.2N 108.3W
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM ENE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch
for Cabo San Lucas to Los Barriles.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Enrique was 
located near latitude 23.2 North, longitude 108.3 West. Enrique is 
moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this motion is 
expected to continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast 
track, the center of Enrique is expected to move near or over 
portions of the southern Baja California Peninsula late tonight and 
Wednesday.
 
Satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds
remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is
expected during the next couple of days, and Enrique is forecast to
dissipate on Thursday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center, mainly in the eastern semicircle.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Enrique can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45
KNHC, and on the web at
www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
 
RAINFALL: Enrique is expected to produce additional rainfall totals
of 2 to 4 inches with maximum amounts of 6 inches across Sinola,
western Durango and southern Chihuahua in western Mexico and 1 to 2
inches with maximum amounts of 4 inches across the southern portions
of Baja California Sur.  These rainfall totals may trigger flash
flooding and mudslides.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern
coast of Mexico, as well as portions of the Gulf of California and
the coast of the southern Baja California Peninsula during the next
day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
 
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