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TROPICAL STORM ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292020
0900 UTC WED NOV 11 2020
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
KINGS BAY GA 34 2 6( 8) 14(22) 5(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29)
KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 3 7(10) 20(30) 7(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
JACKSONVILLE 34 1 3( 4) 20(24) 8(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 1 13(14) 37(51) 6(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 X 1( 1) 12(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 2 7( 9) 26(35) 7(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
THE VILLAGES 34 2 27(29) 31(60) 4(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
THE VILLAGES 50 X 3( 3) 12(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ORLANDO FL 34 2 14(16) 22(38) 5(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
ORLANDO FL 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 4 14(18) 9(27) 1(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29)
PATRICK AFB 34 4 15(19) 9(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
FT PIERCE FL 34 4 10(14) 5(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
W PALM BEACH 34 4 7(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 4 6(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
MIAMI FL 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MARATHON FL 34 5 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
KEY WEST FL 34 8 3(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
NAPLES FL 34 36 8(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
FT MYERS FL 34 15 13(28) 2(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
VENICE FL 34 69 17(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
VENICE FL 50 3 12(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
VENICE FL 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
TAMPA FL 34 28 50(78) 7(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
TAMPA FL 50 1 25(26) 5(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
TAMPA FL 64 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 5 47(52) 20(72) 1(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 X 12(12) 18(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ST MARKS FL 34 1 3( 4) 6(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
APALACHICOLA 34 3 7(10) 6(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 4 12(16) 6(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 3 3( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 3 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HAVANA 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PENSACOLA NAS 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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