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Tropical Storm Eta Advisory Number 36
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020
400 AM EST Mon Nov 09 2020
...ETA JUST OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...
...STRONG WINDS, HEAVY RAINS, AND DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OCCURRING
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS...
SUMMARY OF 400 AM EST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM NNW OF KEY WEST FLORIDA
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM S OF NAPLES FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The Storm Surge Warning and Storm Surge Watch have been
The Hurricane Warning for the Florida Keys and Florida Bay have been
replaced with a Tropical Storm Warning.
The Hurricane Watch for south Florida has been discontinued.
The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
Warning for the Florida west coast from Englewood to Anna Maria
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Northwestern Bahamas, including the Abacos, Andros Island,
Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and New
* Florida coast from Brevard/Volusia County line to Anna Maria
* Florida Keys from Ocean Reef to the Dry Tortugas, including
* Lake Okeechobee
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The Cuban provinces of La Habana, Artemisa, Mayabeque, Pinar del
Rio, and the Isle of Youth
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, generally within 36
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
Interests elsewhere in the Florida peninsula should monitor the
progress of Eta.
For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 400 AM EST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Eta was
located near latitude 25.2 North, longitude 82.0 West. Eta is moving
toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A west to west-
southwest motion with some reduction in forward speed is expected
later today and tonight. Little overall motion is expected on
Tuesday and a slow northward motion is forecast on Wednesday. On
the forecast track, the center of Eta will gradually pull away from
the Florida Keys and south Florida today and be over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico tonight through Wednesday.
Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft and National Weather
Service Doppler radar indicate that the maximum sustained winds
remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening
is forecast during the next day or so, and Eta is forecast to become
a hurricane when it moves over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface
observations is 992 mb (29.30 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Eta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion
under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4, WMO header WTNT44 KNHC, and on the
web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml.
RAINFALL: Eta is expected to produce the following rainfall amounts
through Saturday morning:
Jamaica and The Bahamas: An additional 2 to 4 inches (25 to 75 mm),
with isolated maximum storm totals of 15 inches (380 mm).
Portions of Cuba: an additional 3 to 5 inches (75 to 125 mm),
isolated maximum storm total accumulations of 25 inches (635 mm).
Portions of the central and southern Florida peninsula, including
the Keys: an additional 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm), with isolated
maximum storm totals of 18 inches (450 mm) in South Florida.
Flash flooding and river flooding will be possible in Cuba, along
with landslides in areas of higher terrain. Life-threatening flash
flooding will be possible across inundated urban areas of southeast
Florida. Flash and urban flooding will also be possible for
Jamaica, the Bahamas, and the remainder of southern and eastern
Florida over the next several days. Minor river flooding is also
possible for central Florida.
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Bonita Beach, FL to Card Sound Bridge including Florida Keys... 2-3
Card Sound Bridge to Golden Beach... 1-2 ft
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by dangerous
waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the
surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short
distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue across the Florida
Keys, south and central Florida, and the northwestern Bahamas
today. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Tropical
Storm Watch area in Cuba tonight and Tuesday.
TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible through tonight over
parts of south Florida and the Keys.
SURF: Swells generated by Eta are expected to affect the north
coast of Cuba, the northwestern Bahamas, southern Florida and the
Florida Keys during the next couple of days. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM EST.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM EST.