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Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number 22
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020
500 AM AST Sat Sep 12 2020
...PAULETTE EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TODAY...
...FORECAST TO BRING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO BERMUDA BY SUNDAY
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 645 MI...1040 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The Bermuda Weather Service has issued a Tropical Storm Warning
and a Hurricane Watch for Bermuda.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was
located near latitude 26.8 North, longitude 56.1 West. Paulette is
moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A
west-northwestward or northwestward motion at a slightly slower
forward speed is expected through the weekend, followed by a
turn toward the northwest and north-northwest on Monday and Monday
evening. The center of Paulette is forecast to move near Bermuda
Sunday night and Monday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Additional strengthening is anticipated and Paulette is
forecast to become a hurricane later today.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC,
and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin to affect
Bermuda and the nearby waters by Sunday night. Hurricane conditions
could begin in that area Sunday night or early Monday.
RAIN: Paulette may bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda through
Monday, with rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with maximum
amounts of 6 inches possible.
SURF: Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands and will continue to spread westward to portions of
the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, Bermuda, and the southeastern United
States this weekend. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.