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Tropical Depression PRISCILLA


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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Priscilla Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP192019
400 PM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019

...PRISCILLA MAKES LANDFALL EAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AND WEAKENS...
...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 104.0W
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM ENE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for southwestern Mexico.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of recently downgraded Tropical
Depression Priscilla was located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude
104.0 West.  The depression is moving toward the north near 9 mph
(15 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue through
tonight until Priscilla dissipates inland over southwestern Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Rapid weakening is expected now that Priscilla is
inland over southwestern Mexico, and the small cyclone is expected
to dissipate later tonight or early Monday morning.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Priscilla and its remnants are expected to produce
rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches, with local amounts to 15
inches, across portions of Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, and Michoacan
in southwestern Mexico through Tuesday night. This rainfall could
produce flash flooding and mudslides within steep terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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