ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Narda Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP162019
400 AM CDT Sun Sep 29 2019

...NARDA A LITTLE STRONGER...
...BRINGING FLOODING RAINS TO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 101.0W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SSE OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Acapulco to Cabo Corrientes

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Narda was
located near latitude 16.0 North, longitude 101.0 West. Narda is
moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h).  This motion is
expected to continue over the next couple of days, bringing Narda
very near or over the southwestern coast of Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight additional strengthening is possible during the next 48
hours unless the center moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area by early today, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.

RAINFALL:  Narda is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
5 to 10 inches along the southwestern coast of Mexico from Oaxaca to
Nayarit, and 1 to 4 inches over Baja California Sur through Monday
night.  Isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible from
Oaxaca to Nayarit.  This rainfall will cause life-threatening flash
floods and mudslides, especially in mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

NNNN