ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Bud Advisory Number  24
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032018
900 AM MDT Fri Jun 15 2018

...BUD AND ITS REMNANTS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE
STATE OF SONORA AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.3N 110.0W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSE OF GUAYMAS MEXICO
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM ESE OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch
from Altata to Huatabampito.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Bud was
located near latitude 25.3 North, longitude 110.0 West.  The
depression is moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this
motion is expected to continue through early Saturday.  On the
forecast track, the center of Bud is expected to move inland over
southern Sonora by tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts. Bud is expected to become a remnant low by tonight
and dissipate on Saturday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Bud is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain with
isolated totals of 6 inches across southern and eastern Sonora in
northwestern Mexico through Saturday.  These rains could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.  An additional 1 to 2
inches of rain are possible in southern portions of Baja California
Sur.

Remnant moisture from Bud is expected to produce 1 to 2 inches of
rain with isolated totals of 3 inches across the southwestern U.S.
into the southern and central Rockies through Saturday.  These
rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

WIND:  Wind gusts to tropical storm force are possible today along
the coast of mainland Mexico in northern Sinaloa and southern
Sonora states.

SURF:  Swells generated by Bud will continue to affect portions of
the coast of western mainland Mexico during the next day or so.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Brennan/McElroy

NNNN