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BULLETIN
Hurricane Bud Advisory Number  10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032018
900 PM MDT Mon Jun 11 2018

...BUD A LITTLE STRONGER BUT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 107.6W
ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 395 MI...635 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Interests in southern Baja California Sur, Mexico, should monitor
the progress of Bud.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Bud was located near
latitude 17.6 North, longitude 107.6 West.  Bud is moving toward
the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a decrease in forward speed
is expected tonight and on Tuesday.  A slow north-northwestward
motion is forecast late Tuesday through Thursday.  On the forecast
track, the center of Bud will approach southern Baja California Sur
on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 125 mph (205 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Bud is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-
Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Fluctuations in intensity are
possible during the next 12 hours, but weakening is expected to
begin on Tuesday and continue through Thursday while Bud approaches
southern Baja California Sur.  Bud is forecast to weaken below
hurricane intensity by Wednesday night.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115
miles (185 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 951 mb (28.09 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Bud is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 3 to 6 inches across much of southwestern Mexico, with isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches into Tuesday afternoon.  These rains
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

SURF:  Swells generated by Bud will continue to affect portions of
the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days and will
begin to affect the southern Baja California Peninsula on Tuesday.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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