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Hurricane BUD


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BULLETIN
Hurricane Bud Advisory Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032018
300 PM MDT Mon Jun 11 2018

...CORE OF HURRICANE BUD MOVING AWAY FROM THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF
MAINLAND MEXICO BUT RAINBANDS ARE LINGERING NEAR THE COAST...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 107.4W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch
from Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Bud was located near
latitude 17.0 North, longitude 107.4 West. Bud is moving toward the
northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is expected to
continue through tonight with a decrease in forward speed.  A turn
toward the north-northwest is expected on Tuesday, and this general
motion should continue into mid-week.  On the forecast track, the
core of Bud and its stronger winds are expected to continue moving
away from the southwestern coast of mainland Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher
gusts. Bud is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Some additional strengthening or fluctuations
in intensity are possible later today, but a slow weakening trend is
expected to begin on Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115
miles (185 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Bud is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 3 to 6 inches across much of southwestern Mexico, with isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches into Tuesday afternoon.  These rains
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

SURF:  Swells generated by Bud will continue to affect portions of
the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

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