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Tropical Storm Pilar Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP182017
900 PM MDT Sun Sep 24 2017

...PILAR JUST OFF THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO...
...PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.8N 106.3W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM S OF MAZATLAN MEXICO
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM NNE OF LAS ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has extended the tropical storm warning
northward from El Roblito to Bahia Tempehuaya, and discontinued the
tropical storm warning south of Cabo Corrientes.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The coast of Mexico from Cabo Corrientes northward to Bahia
Tempehuaya, including Las Islas Marias

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Pilar was
located near latitude 21.8 North, longitude 106.3 West.  Pilar is
moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h).  A slower northward or
north-northwestward motion is expected during the next day or two.
On the forecast track, the center of Pilar is forecast to move along
or just west of the coast of the Mexican states of Nayarit and
Sinaloa during the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is forecast, and Pilar is expected to become
a tropical depression on Monday and dissipate on Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Pilar is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3
to 7 inches with possible isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches over
the western portions of the Mexican states of Nayarit and southern
Sinaloa through Monday night.  This rainfall could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring in a portion of the
warning area.  These conditions will gradually spread northward
along the Mexican coast overnight and on Monday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1200 AM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

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