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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Pilar Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP182017
1000 AM CDT Sun Sep 24 2017

...PILAR BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 105.9W
ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SSE OF LAS ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning from Manzanillo to Playa Perula.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The southwestern coast of Mexico from Playa Perula northward to El
Roblito, including the Islas Marias

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Pilar was
located near latitude 19.9 North, longitude 105.9 West. Pilar is
moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h).  A slower
northward motion is expected for the next two days.  Along the
forecast track, the center of Pilar is forecast to move along or
just west of the coast of Jalisco today and close to or over the
Islas Marias and the coast of Nayarit on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours and Pilar is
expected to become a remnant low by Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Pilar is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3
to 7 inches with possible isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches over
the western portions of the Mexican states of Michoacan, Colima,
Jalisco, and Nayarit, and southern Sinaloa through Monday night.
This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods and
mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring within the southern
portion of the warning area this morning, and will gradually spread
northward along the Mexican coast through Monday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Landsea

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