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TROPICAL STORM GERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082017
0900 UTC MON AUG 14 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  72.2W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  72.2W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  72.1W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 30.9N  72.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 32.7N  71.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 34.9N  70.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 37.3N  66.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  80SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 42.7N  52.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  70SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 150SE  90SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 49.0N  38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N  72.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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