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TROPICAL STORM ORLENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162016
0300 UTC FRI SEP 16 2016

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ORLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

20N 125W       34 89   1(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
20N 125W       50 31   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
20N 125W       64  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

20N 130W       34  X   4( 4)  35(39)   4(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
20N 130W       50  X   X( X)   8( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
20N 130W       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  19(25)   X(25)   X(25)
20N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

20N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)   1(12)

20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/ZELINSKY
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