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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ORLENE ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162016
800 PM PDT SUN SEP 11 2016

...ORLENE RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON MONDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 118.3W
ABOUT 700 MI...1125 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Orlene was
located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 118.3 West. Orlene is
moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h).  A turn toward
the north-northwest and then north with a significant decrease in
forward speed is expected during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours, and Orlene is expected to become a hurricane by
Monday morning.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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