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HURRICANE ORLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162016
1500 UTC MON SEP 12 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 119.3W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 119.3W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 119.2W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 18.1N 119.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 18.8N 119.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.1N 119.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.3N 120.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.1N 122.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 18.7N 127.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 18.7N 131.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 119.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS


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