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HURRICANE NEWTON ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016
300 AM MDT TUE SEP 06 2016
...NEWTON MAKING LANDFALL NEAR CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO...
...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS SPREADING OVER SOUTHERN BAJA
SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM S OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSE OF LA PAZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The Government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Warning for
mainland Mexico from Guaymas northward to Bahia Kino.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cabo San Lazaro to Mulege, including Cabo San Lucas
* Guaymas to Bahia Kino
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* North of Cabo San Lazaro to Punta Abreojos
* North of Mulege to Bahia San Juan Bautista
* Mazatlan to Guaymas
* Bahia Kino to Puerto Libertad
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Bahia Kino to Puerto Libertad
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of the large eye of Hurricane
Newton was located near latitude 22.8 North, longitude 109.9 West.
Newton is moving toward the north-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h),
and this general motion is expected to continue through this
morning. A turn toward the north-northwest, and then to the north,
are expected by tonight and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the
center of the large eye of Newton will pass near or over Cabo San
Lucas shortly, continue moving over the southern portion of the
Baja California peninsula through this morning and afternoon, and
move into northwestern Mexico early Wednesday morning.
Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours.
However, Newton is still expected to be a hurricane when it makes
a second landfall along the northwestern coast of mainland Mexico
early Wednesday morning.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are occurring over
much of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula.
These hazardous wind conditions will spread northward through this
morning within the warning areas. Preparations to protect life and
property should have been completed.
For the Mexican mainland, hurricane conditions are expected within
the Hurricane Warning area by early Wednesday morning. Tropical
storm conditions are expected over northwestern Mexico within the
Tropical Storm and Hurricane Warning areas beginning later this
morning, and these conditions will gradually spread northward
throughout the day and into tonight.
RAINFALL: Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
8 to 12 inches over the Mexican state of Baja California Sur, and 5
to 10 inches over the Mexican states of Sinaloa, Sonora, western
Nayarit, and Jalisco, and a small part of Baja California Norte
through Wednesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches are
possible in Baja California Sur. Moisture associated with Newton is
expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and
locally higher amounts over southeastern Arizona and southwestern
New Mexico through Thursday. In all of these locations, heavy rain
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially
in mountainous terrain.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the
center makes landfall on both the southern Baja California peninsula
and mainland Mexico. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied
by large and destructive waves.
SURF: Large swells generated by Newton are expected to affect the
coast of southwestern Mexico through today, and begin to subside on
Wednesday. Swells should increase across the southern and central
portions of the Baja California peninsula today and today. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
Next intermediate advisory at 600 AM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.