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HURRICANE NEWTON ADVISORY NUMBER   5...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152016
300 PM MDT MON SEP 05 2016

Corrected for Tropical Storm Warning Summary

...AIRCRAFT FINDS THAT NEWTON IS NOW A HURRICANE...
...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.3N 108.1W
ABOUT 215 MI...350 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 305 MI...495 KM SSE OF LA PAZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Warning for the
west coast of the Baja California Sur from north of Puerto Cortes to
Cabo San Lazaro.  A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the
east coast of the Baja California peninsula from north of Mulege to
Bahia San Juan Bautista and for mainland Mexico from north of Bahia
Kino to Puerto Libertad.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cabo San Lazaro to San Evaristo, including Cabo San Lucas

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes
* North of Cabo San Lazaro to Punta Abreojos
* North of San Evaristo to Bahia San Juan Bautista
* Bahia Tempehuaya to Puerto Libertad

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North of San Evaristo to Loreto

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Mazatlan to south of Bahia Tempehuaya

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 12 to 24
hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Newton was located
near latitude 20.3 North, longitude 108.1 West. Newton is moving
toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue through early Tuesday.  A turn toward
the north-northwest, and then to the north, is expected late Tuesday
and Wednesday.  On the forecast track, Newton should be near or over
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula on Tuesday
morning, move over portions of the southern Baja California
peninsula late Tuesday, and move into northwestern Mexico on early
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Further strengthening is expected before
landfall.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure from Air Force data is 987 mb
(29.15 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  For the Baja California peninsula, hurricane conditions are
expected to reach the coast within the hurricane warning area early
Tuesday morning.  Winds are expected to first reach tropical storm
strength by late tonight, making outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.  Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.  Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are
possible within the hurricane watch area later on Tuesday.

For the Mexican mainland, tropical storm conditions occurring
from Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes should end this evening.
Farther northward, tropical storm conditions are expected over
northwestern Mexico within the warning area beginning Tuesday
morning, and these conditions will gradually spread northward
throughout the day.

RAINFALL:  Newton is expected to produce rainfall totals of 5 to 10
inches for coastal portions of the Mexican states of Michoacan,
Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, Sinaloa and Sonora as well as much of the
state of Baja California Sur, with isolated maximum amounts of 15
inches through Tuesday night.  These rains could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of
mountainous terrain.  Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are
expected across portions of southern Arizona and southwestern New
Mexico from late Wednesday into Thursday, with localized amounts of
up to 3 inches possible.  These rains could result in dangerous
flash flooding.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the
center makes landfall.  Near the coast, the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.

SURF:  Large swells generated by Newton are expected to affect the
coast of southwestern Mexico through Tuesday, and begin to subside
on Wednesday.  Swells should increase across the southern and
central portions of the Baja California peninsula today and Tuesday.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 600 PM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake

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