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TROPICAL STORM NEWTON ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152016
300 AM MDT MON SEP 05 2016

...NEWTON STRENGTHENS A LITTLE...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS EXTENDED NORTHWARD IN
BAJA CALIFORNIA AND MAINLAND MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 106.1W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 425 MI...680 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning in
Baja California Sur from north of La Paz to San Evaristo.

The Government of Mexico has extended the Tropical Storm Watch
northward on the east coast of the Baja California peninsula to
Santa Rosalia and on the west coast of the Baja California peninsula
to Punta Abreojos.  The Government of Mexico has also extended the
Tropical Storm Watch northward on the west coast of mainland Mexico
to Guaymas.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* La Paz to Santa Fe, including Cabo San Lucas

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes
* north of La Paz to San Evaristo

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* north of La Paz to San Evaristo
* north of Santa Fe to Cabo San Lazaro

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* north of San Evaristo to Santa Rosalia
* north of Cabo San Lazaro to Punta Abreojos
* Mazatlan to Guaymas

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-
force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.  Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24 hours.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Newton was
located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 106.1 West. Newton is
moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).  A
northwestward or north-northwestward motion with an increase in
forward speed is expected later today and Tuesday.  On the forecast
track, the center of Newton will be near or over the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula Tuesday morning.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 36 hours or
so, and Newton could be near hurricane intensity when it approaches
the extreme southern Baja California peninsula Tuesday morning.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within
the hurricane warning area by Tuesday morning.  Winds are expected
to first reach tropical storm strength by late tonight, making
outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect
life and property should be rushed to completion.  Hurricane and
tropical storm conditions are possible within the hurricane watch
area on Tuesday.

Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical storm
warning area along the southwestern coast of Mexico today. Tropical
storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch areas
by late Tuesday.

RAINFALL:  Newton is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 5 to 10 inches for coastal portions of the Mexican
states of Michoacan, Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, Sinaloa, as well as
much of the state of Baja California Sur, with isolated maximum
amounts of 15 inches through Tuesday night.  These rains could
produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in
areas of mountainous terrain.

SURF:  Swells generated by Newton are expected to increase near the
coast of southwestern Mexico and the southern portion of the Baja
California peninsula during the next day or so.  These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 600 AM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

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