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TROPICAL STORM NEWTON ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152016
1000 PM CDT SUN SEP 04 2016

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM NEWTON...
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 105.7W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 490 MI...790 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has upgraded the Hurricane Watch to a
Hurricane Warning for the extreme southern Baja California peninsula
from La Paz to Santa Fe, including Cabo San Lucas.  A Tropical
Storm Warning has been issued for the southwestern coast of Mexico
from Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes.

The Government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the
east coast of the Baja California peninsula north of San Evaristo
to Loreto, and for the west coast of the Baja California peninsula
north of Cabo San Lazaro to Puerto San Andresito.  A Tropical Storm
Watch has also been issued for the west coast of mainland Mexico
from Mazatlan to Huatabampito.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* La Paz to Santa Fe, including Cabo San Lucas

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* north of La Paz to San Evaristo
* north of Santa Fe to Cabo San Lazaro

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* north of San Evaristo to Loreto
* north of Cabo San Lazaro to Puerto San Andresito
* Mazatlan to Huatabampito

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-
force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.  Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24 hours.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Newton was
located near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 105.7 West.  Newton is
moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h).  A
northwestward or north-northwestward motion with an increase in
forward speed is expected on Monday and Tuesday.  On the forecast
track, the center of Newton will be near or over the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula Tuesday morning.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during
the next 36 hours or so, and Newton could be near hurricane
intensity when it approaches the extreme southern Baja California
peninsula Tuesday morning.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast
within the hurricane warning area by Tuesday morning.  Winds are
expected to first reach tropical storm strength by late Monday
night, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.  Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are possible
within the hurricane watch area on Tuesday.

Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical storm
warning area along the southwestern coast of Mexico on Monday.
Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm
watch areas on Tuesday.

RAINFALL:  Newton is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 5 to 10 inches for coastal portions of the Mexican
states of Michoacan, Jalisco, Nayarit, Sinaloa, as well as the
state of Baja California Sur, with isolated maximum amounts of 15
inches through Tuesday.  These rains could produce life-threatening
flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of mountainous
terrain.

SURF:  Swells generated by Newton are expected to increase near the
coast of southwestern Mexico and the southern portion of the Baja
California peninsula during the next couple of days.  These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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