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HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016
1500 UTC SUN AUG 28 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 123.7W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 123.7W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 123.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.2N 125.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.3N 128.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.5N 131.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.5N 134.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 18.5N 138.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 18.5N 143.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 19.5N 148.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 123.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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