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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062016
300 AM MDT SAT JUL 16 2016

...ESTELLE STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 109.0W
ABOUT 390 MI...625 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Estelle was
located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 109.0 West. Estelle is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Strengthening is forecast during the next 48
hours, and Estelle could become a hurricane on Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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