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TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042016
2100 UTC THU JUL 14 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 138.0W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  60SE  70SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 138.0W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 137.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 21.8N 139.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 22.1N 142.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 22.3N 144.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.8N 147.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 23.5N 151.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 24.2N 156.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 25.2N 161.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 138.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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