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TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032016
2100 UTC SUN JUL 03 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 111.4W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  75SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 111.4W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 110.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 12.8N 113.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 13.4N 115.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.9N 117.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 14.3N 120.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.5N 124.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 16.8N 128.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 18.4N 132.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 111.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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