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TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132016
0300 UTC THU SEP 22 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  32.8W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  60SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE  90SE  90SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  32.8W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  32.6W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 20.2N  33.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...110NE  60SE   0SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.6N  35.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  60SE   0SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 23.0N  36.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 24.3N  37.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 26.7N  40.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 31.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 36.5N  37.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N  32.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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