ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
HURRICANE DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
900 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2015

...EYE OF MAJOR HURRICANE DOLORES VERY NEAR SOCORRO ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 110.9W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SW OF SOCORRO ISLAND MEXICO
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of the large eye of Hurricane
Dolores was located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 110.9 West.
Dolores is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and
this general motion is expected to continue through Thursday. A turn
toward the west is forecast on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 115 mph (185 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Dolores is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Fluctuations in strength are
possible through Thursday, but weakening is forecast to begin
Thursday night or Friday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).  An automated station on Socorro Island reported a
sustained wind of 80 mph (128 km/h) with a gust to 114 mph (183
km/h) a couple of hours ago.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches),
partially based on an observed pressure of 970 mb at Socorro
Island, which was measured outside of the eye.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Dolores are affecting portions of the
coast of southwestern Mexico and the southern coast of the Baja
California peninsula.  These swells could cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

NNNN