ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015
400 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015
...CARLOS MOVING PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...
...EXPECTED TO RESTRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SE OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo to Tecpan de Galeana
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* West of Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
somewhere within the watch area within 48 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
the next 12 to 24 hours.
Interests elsewhere along the southwest coast of Mexico should
monitor the progress of Carlos.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlos was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 100.9 West. Carlos is
moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h) and this general
motion is expected to continue through Monday morning. A turn
toward the west-northwest is forecast to occur Monday night into
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during next 48 hours,
and Carlos is expected to become a hurricane again by Monday
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to begin within the
hurricane warning area on Monday. Hurricane conditions are possible
within the hurricane watch area Monday night or early Tuesday.
RAINFALL: Carlos is expected to produce rains in the Mexican states
of Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco, with rainfall
accumulations of 6 to 10 inches possible through Tuesday with
maximum totals of 15 inches possible. These rains may produce
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of
SURF: Swells associated with Carlos will affect the coasts of
southern and southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These
swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.