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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032015
1000 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2015

...CARLOS DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 100.1W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SSE OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Acapulco to Punta San Telmo

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 36-48 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the southwest coast of Mexico should
monitor the progress of Carlos.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlos was
located near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 100.1 West.  Carlos is
currently drifting toward the northeast.  A drift toward the north
or northwest is expected later tonight and Saturday, and a slow
motion toward the west-northwest is expected Saturday night and
Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours and Carlos
is expected to become a hurricane by Sunday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
by Saturday night.

RAINFALL:  Locally heavy rains are beginning to spread over portions
of the southern coast of Mexico, primarily in the states of Oaxaca
and Guerrero, and will continue to affect these areas during the
next couple of days.

SURF:  Swells associated with Carlos will affect the coast of
southern Mexico during the next few days.  These swells could cause
life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from
your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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