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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032015
400 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2015

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH EXTENDED NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.7N 100.6W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 250 MI...405 KM SSE OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has extended the Tropical Storm Watch
from north of Zihuatanejo northwestward to Punta San Telmo.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Acapulco to Punta San Telmo

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 36-48 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the southwest coast of Mexico should
monitor the progress of Carlos.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlos was
located near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 100.6 West. Carlos is
currently stationary, and only a slow movement to the west-northwest
is expected over the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Carlos is expected to become a hurricane by Sunday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
by Saturday night.

RAINFALL:  Locally heavy rains are beginning to spread over
portions of the southern coast of Mexico, primarily in the states of
Oaxaca and Guerrero, and will continue to affect these areas during
the next couple of days.

SURF:  Swells associated with Carlos will affect the coast of
southern Mexico during the next few days.  These swells could cause
life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from
your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake

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