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Hurricane BLANCA


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BULLETIN
HURRICANE BLANCA ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
900 AM MDT SAT JUN 06 2015

...BLANCA WITH 130 MPH-WINDS...
...ANOTHER AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE EN ROUTE TO CHECK
BLANCA...

SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 109.4W
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM SW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM S OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Cabo San Lucas to Santa Fe

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* La Paz to Santa Fe, including Cabo San Lucas

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of La Paz to San Evaristo
* North of Santa Fe to Cabo San Lazaro

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Blanca was located
near latitude 17.7 North, longitude 109.4 West. Blanca is moving
toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), but a turn toward the
north-northwest is forecast by tonight.  On the forecast track, the
center of Blanca is expected to be near the southwest coast of Baja
California Sur in the warning area late Sunday.

Satellite estimates indicate that the maximum sustained winds
have increased to near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts.  Blanca
is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind
Scale.  Some weakening should begin on Sunday. Another Air Force
reconnaissance plane is en route to check Blanca.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 943 mb (27.85 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area on Sunday, making outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.  Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane
watch area Sunday and Sunday night.  Tropical storm conditions are
possible within the tropical storm watch area starting Sunday night.

RAINFALL:  Blanca is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
6 to 10 inches over much of Baja California Sur and the southern
portion of the state of Baja California, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 15 inches over Baja California Sur. These rains
could produce life threatening flash floods and mudslides.

SURF:  Swells generated by Blanca are affecting the coast of
southwestern Mexico, the Pacific coast of the Baja California
peninsula, and the southern Gulf of California.  These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
For additional information, please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

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